Not financial advice. I'm a Dutch tech entrepreneur sharing personal research with friends. I hold every position listed here. Past performance means nothing. Do your own homework.

Q2 2026 · Updated April 27

17 positions. €22,500. Where I'm betting on the next decade.

I've been building a portfolio around a specific worldview: AI accelerates everything, nuclear becomes inevitable, and the companies building the infrastructure layer will outperform the companies building the apps. These are my current holdings and my seven new picks for Q2 2026.

17 Holdings
€22.5K Total invested
7 New picks
Q2 2026 Entry window

Current Portfolio

17 positions across 7 themes. The concentration in silicon photonics is intentional, it's my highest-conviction thesis. The gaps are why I'm adding in Q2.

Silicon Photonics 47%
AI Infrastructure 22%
Specialty Semis 8%
Embodied AI / Robotics 8%
AI Software / Defense 7%
Platform AI 5%
Quantum / Biotech 3%
Show all 17 holdings
Full portfolio holdings as of April 2026, including ticker, company name, theme, approximate position size, and return where disclosed
# Ticker Company Theme Position Return
1 POET POET Technologies Silicon Photonics largest +158%
2 LITE Lumentum Silicon Photonics N/A N/A
3 LASR nLIGHT Silicon Photonics N/A N/A
4 APLD Applied Digital AI Infrastructure N/A +127%
5 VRT Vertiv AI Infrastructure N/A N/A
6 NVDA NVIDIA AI Infrastructure N/A N/A
7 PLTR Palantir AI Software / Defense N/A N/A
8 TSLA Tesla Embodied AI N/A -5.15%
9 GOOGL Alphabet Platform AI N/A N/A
10 AMAT Applied Materials Semi Equipment N/A N/A
11 MRAM Everspin Technologies Persistent Memory €561 +46.7%
12 TSEM Tower Semiconductor Specialty Semis €478 +87.5%
13 CGNX Cognex Machine Vision €385 +51.2%
14 IONQ IonQ Quantum Computing €232 -8.7%
15 AAOI Applied Optoelectronics Silicon Photonics €211 +24.4%
16 SYM Symbotic Warehouse Robotics €189 +11.8%
17 ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Biotech AI €115 -2.9%

Returns for positions 1-10 are partial: POET (+158%), APLD (+127%), and TSLA (-5.15%) reported explicitly. Other returns not disclosed.

7 New Picks for Q2 2026

These fill the gaps in my portfolio. The top three are my highest-conviction buys right now. The bottom four are also buys, sized smaller.

Top 3: Highest conviction

4 more picks, smaller sizing

BUY NASDAQ
~$95

MRVL

Marvell Technology

NVIDIA made a $2B strategic investment in Marvell on March 31, integrating their custom silicon into the NVLink Fusion ecosystem. Google is in active negotiations for two specialized AI chips. FY2026 revenue hit $8.2B (+42% YoY), guiding FY2027 above $11B. Custom XPU is how hyperscalers escape NVIDIA pricing constraints. Marvell is building those weapons. Stock up 30% in April alone; analyst consensus PT at $121 implies the partnerships aren't fully priced. Average in over three months rather than chasing the run.

Position €600-900 · Average in over 3 months
Risks
  • Competition from Broadcom for custom chip mandates
  • Google chip development still in negotiations, not contracted
  • Stock has already run 50% YTD
BUY NASDAQ
~$380-393

AVGO

Broadcom

CEO Hock Tan projected $100B+ in XPU revenue in FY2027 alone, more than 1.5x Broadcom's entire FY2025 revenue. Q1 AI semiconductor revenue came in at $8.4B (+106% YoY). Custom silicon partnerships with Google, Apple, Meta (extended through 2029), and NVIDIA. Broadcom is building weapons for every side of the AI war simultaneously. The safer play alongside MRVL: more diversified customer base, lower volatility. Size both as one "custom silicon" allocation.

Position €600-800 · Treat with MRVL as one theme
Risks
  • Google represents ~50% of AI revenue, single-customer concentration risk
  • Antitrust scrutiny in networking ASICs
  • VMware integration complexity (acquired 2023)
BUY NASDAQ
~$400-450

CRWD

CrowdStrike

Every new AI agent is a new endpoint. Every API call is a new vector. The cybersecurity attack surface expands geometrically with AI proliferation. CrowdStrike crossed $5B ARR (+24% YoY) with record net new ARR of $330.7M in Q4, an acceleration less than two years after the July 2024 outage. The resilience test was passed. Purple AI at 40% attach rate. The CEO calls it "mission-critical infrastructure: securing AI from GPU to agent to prompt." Watch for corrections toward $350-370 to build a position.

Position €600-800 · Target dips toward $350
Risks
  • Residual trust deficit from 2024 outage (largely recovered)
  • Competition from Microsoft Security, Palo Alto Networks
  • ~50-60x forward earnings is premium
BUY NYSE ADR
~$131

BABA

Alibaba Group

China is a co-equal AI force. DeepSeek proved it in January. Alibaba's Qwen model family is the most downloaded open-source model on HuggingFace globally. AI investments nearly doubled quarter-over-quarter to $2.9B. Cloud revenue forecast at 40% YoY growth. The stock sits 31% below analyst consensus ($190-230) because of tariff panic that has already started reversing (+14% in April alone). At 10-12x forward P/E versus US tech at 25-40x, this is the asymmetric gap my worldview explicitly identifies. VIE structure is the real risk. Size accordingly, this is the highest-asymmetry position in this set.

Position €500-700 · Highest risk, highest asymmetry
Risks
  • VIE structure: no legal claim on mainland Chinese assets
  • US ADR delisting risk (SEC/PCAOB ongoing tension)
  • Taiwan conflict scenario would be catastrophic
  • Xi regulatory intervention (2021-style crackdown could repeat)

Watch List

Not buying yet. Too early, too rich, or waiting for a specific catalyst.

WATCH

VST

Vistra Corp · NYSE · ~$157

Second-largest US nuclear operator. Amazon and Meta PPAs signed. Down 25% from 52-week high. Morgan Stanley maintains Overweight with $208 PT (April 21), implying 33% upside. Wait for consolidation. Constellation Energy is the cleaner nuclear pure-play entry right now; Vistra is the backup if CEG runs.

WATCH

S

SentinelOne · NYSE · ~$13

AI-native cybersecurity underdog. Down 45% from 12-month highs with 35% analyst upside consensus. CrowdStrike has the brand, the installed base, and the momentum. Watch S as a higher-upside spec if the whole sector re-rates broadly. Not ahead of CRWD.

WATCH

SYM

Symbotic · NASDAQ · ~$63

Already in the portfolio at €190. $22.5B backlog, 26% YoY revenue growth, expanding into healthcare and e-commerce. Not yet profitable. Add on dips rather than a new position. The humanoid-pure-play IPOs (Figure, Physical Intelligence) may offer better robotics entries in 2027.

WATCH

BIDU

Baidu · NASDAQ · ~$85

The China robotaxi play. Apollo Go at 3.4M fully autonomous trips across 26 cities globally, with Uber partnerships in Abu Dhabi and Dubai. First-ever dividend plus $5B buyback. The Wuhan system failure (100+ robotaxis freezing, April 2026) is exactly the incident risk that shadows autonomous driving investments. Watch for operational stability through 2026 before adding as a second China position alongside BABA.

What I'm Avoiding

Looks thematic on the surface. Not buying.

AVOID

Pure-Play ETFs

KWEB holds Pinduoduo alongside Baidu. ROBO holds Fanuc alongside ISRG. ETFs dilute conviction into generic exposure. The precise bets my worldview demands cannot be made through baskets. I'm a stock picker with specific theses, and basket products are the antithesis of that approach.

AVOID

Intel (INTC)

Looks thematic. It's a structural loser in every scenario my worldview describes. The Compression Singularity benefits ARM architectures, not x86. Gaudi has failed to gain meaningful hyperscaler traction. The foundry strategy is five years behind TSMC with no clear path to close. Intel is the stock the "broken prediction establishment" is still recommending. That's the tell.

AVOID

Microsoft (MSFT)

Thematically perfect. Priced perfectly too. At 30x+ forward earnings with every AI tailwind already visible and priced in, the risk/reward for a new position is poor. I already hold Alphabet as my platform AI bet. If MSFT corrects 20%+ on an Azure growth miss, it gets interesting. Not at current levels.

How I Think About This

Six principles that govern every position in this portfolio.

The infrastructure layer is always underpriced

Everyone wants the AI app layer. I want the power cables, the uranium, the custom silicon, the surgical robots. The picks nobody's writing about until they've already tripled. Eaton. Cameco. ISRG before the hype cycle found them.

Concentration is only a risk if the thesis is wrong

Silicon photonics is 47% of my portfolio. That's intentional. If AI interconnect demand plays out as I believe, the concentration is the feature. If I'm wrong, it's the bug. I accept that tradeoff rather than hiding behind diversification theater.

AI accelerates energy demand, it doesn't reduce it

Jevons Paradox: efficiency improvements increase total consumption. AI inference gets cheap, so everyone does more of it. Data center electricity demand triples by 2030. That's not a warning. That's a thesis. Nuclear, power delivery, uranium are all beneficiaries.

Geopolitical disruption is a tail-wind, not a head-wind

Strait of Hormuz closes? European energy prices spike, nuclear becomes politically mandatory. Russia sanctions tighten? Western uranium urgency increases. My portfolio isn't hedged against geopolitics. It's positioned to benefit from the specific disruptions I think are most likely.

China is co-equal, not secondary

DeepSeek proved in January 2026 that Chinese AI matches Western frontier performance at a fraction of the cost. My portfolio had zero China exposure while my worldview explicitly predicted Chinese AI leadership. BABA is the fix for that contradiction.

Consensus picks are already priced

If every analyst rates it Buy and every podcast covers it, the insight is gone. The edge lives in the unsexy layer below the headline. Eaton over NVIDIA. Cameco over the hyperscalers. Custom silicon over GPU monoculture. The next thing beats the current thing, every time.